Publications
Journal Publications
2023 Lorenz, D. J. A Simple Mechanistic Model of Wave-Mean Flow Feedbacks, Poleward Jet Shifts and the Annular Mode Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 80(2), 549-568.
2023 Lorenz, D. J. Dynamics of the Transient Negative Eddy Response to Zonal-Mean Zonal Wind Variations Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 80(2), 593-610.
2022 Lorenz, D. J. The Role of Barotropic versus Baroclinic Feedbacks on the Eddy Response to Annular Mode Zonal Wind Anomalies Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 79(10), 2529-2547.
2022 Lorenz, D. J. The Role of Temperature Gradients versus Static Stability on the Zonal Wind and Eddy Kinetic Energy Response to Thermal Perturbations Journal of Climate, 35(21), 3441-3456.
2022 Gesangyangji, D. Vimont, T. Holloway, D. Lorenz A methodology for evaluating the effects of climate change on climatic design conditions for buildings and application to a case study in Madison, Wisconsin Environmental Research: Infrastructure and Sustainability, 2, 025007
2022 Osman M., B. F. Zaitchik, H. S. Badr, J. Otkin, Y. Zhong, D. Lorenz, M. Anderson, T. F. Keenan, D. L. Miller, C. Hain, T. Holmes Diagnostic Classification of Flash Drought Events Reveals Distinct Classes of Forcings and Impacts Journal of Hydrometeorology, 23(2), 275–289.
2021 Lorenz, D. J., J. A. Otkin, B. Zaitchik, C. Hain, M. C. Anderson Predicting Rapid Changes in Evaporative Stress Index (ESI) and Soil Moisture Anomalies over the Continental United States Journal of Hydrometeorology, 22(11), 3017–3036.
2019 Burke, K. D., J. W. Williams, S. Brewer, W. Finsinger, T. Giesecke, D. J. Lorenz, A. Ordonez Differing climatic mechanisms control transient and accumulated vegetation novelty in Europe and eastern North America Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B, 374(1788), 20190218.
2019 Wu, S., M. Markus, D. Lorenz, J. R. Angel, K. Grady A Comparative Analysis of the Historical Accuracy of the Point Precipitation Frequency Estimates of Four Data Sets and Their Projections for the Northeastern United States Water, 11(6), 1279.
2018 Otkin, J. A., Y. Zhong, D. Lorenz, M. C. Anderson, C. Hain Exploring seasonal and regional relationships between the Evaporative Stress Index and surface weather and soil moisture anomalies across the United States Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 22(10), 5373-5386.
2018 Lorenz, D. J., J. A. Otkin, M. Svoboda, C. R. Hain, Y. Zhong Forecasting rapid drought intensification using the Climate Forecast System (CFS) Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 123(16), 8365-8373.
2018 Fitzpatrick, M. C., J. L. Blois, J. W. Williams, D. Nieto-Lugilde, K. C. Maguire, D. J. Lorenz How will climate novelty influence ecological forecasts? Using the Quaternary to assess future reliability Global Change Biology, 24(8), 3575-3586.
2017 Lorenz, D. J., J. A. Otkin, M. Svoboda, C. R. Hain, M. C. Anderson, Y. Zhong Predicting the US Drought Monitor using precipitation, soil moisture, and evapotranspiration anomalies. Part I: Development of a nondiscrete USDM index Journal of Hydrometeorology, 18(7), 1943-1962.
2017 Lorenz, D. J., J. A. Otkin, M. Svoboda, C. R. Hain, M. C. Anderson, Y. Zhong Predicting the US Drought Monitor using precipitation, soil moisture, and evapotranspiration anomalies. Part II: Intraseasonal drought intensification forecasts Journal of Hydrometeorology, 18(7), 1963-1982.
2016 Kirchmeier-Young, M. C., D. J. Lorenz, and D. J. Vimont Extreme Event Verification for Probabilistic Downscaling Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 55(11), 2411-2430.
2016 Lorenz, D. J., D. Nieto-Lugilde, J. L. Blois, M. C. Fitzpatrick, and J. W. Williams, Downscaled and debiased climate simulations for North America from 21,000 years ago to 2100AD. Scientific Data, 3(1), 1-19.
2016 Robertson, D. M., D. A. Saad, D. E. Christiansen, and D. J. Lorenz, Simulated impacts of climate change on phosphorus loading to Lake Michigan. Journal of Great Lakes Research, 42(3), 536-548.
2016 Maguire, K. C., D. Nieto-Lugilde, J. L. Blois, M. C. Fitzpatrick, J. W. Williams, S. Ferrier, and D. J. Lorenz Controlled comparison of species- and community-level models across novel climates and communities. Proceedings of the Royal Society B, 283(1826): 20152817.
2015 Vavrus, S. J., M. Notaro, and D. J. Lorenz Interpreting climate model projections of extreme weather events. Weather and Climate Extremes, 10, 10-28.
2015 Lorenz, D. J. Understanding mid-latitude jet variability and change using Rossby wave chromatography: Methodology. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 72(1), 369-388. (Part 1)
2014 Lorenz, D. J. Understanding mid-latitude jet variability and change using Rossby wave chromatography: Poleward shifted jets in response to external forcing Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 71(7), 2370-2389. (Part 2)
2014 Lorenz, D. J. Understanding mid-latitude jet variability and change using Rossby wave chromatography: Wave-mean flow interaction. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 71(10), 3684-3705. (Part 3)
2014 Holman, K. D., D. J. Lorenz, and M. Notaro Influence of the background state on Rossby wave propagation into the Great Lakes region based on observations and model simulations. Journal of Climate, 27(24), 9302-9322.
2014 Notaro, M., D. Lorenz, C. Hoving, and M. Schummer Twenty-First-Century Projections of Snowfall and Winter Severity across Central-Eastern North America. Journal of Climate, 27(17), 6526–6550.
2014 Kirchmeier, M. C., D. J. Lorenz, and D. J. Vimont Statistical Downscaling of Daily Wind Speed Variations Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 53(3), 660-675.
2013 Delcambre, S. C., D. J. Lorenz, D. J. Vimont, and J. E. Martin Diagnosing Northern Hemisphere jet portrayal in 17 CMIP3 global climate models: Twenty-first-century projections. Journal of Climate, 26(14), 4930-4946.
2013 Delcambre, S. C., D. J. Lorenz, D. J. Vimont, and J. E. Martin Diagnosing Northern Hemisphere jet portrayal in 17 CMIP3 global climate models: Twentieth-century intermodel variability. Journal of Climate, 26(14), 4910-4929.
2012 Notaro, M., J. W. Williams, and D. Lorenz Vegetation and land carbon projections for Wisconsin, USA, in the 21st century. Climate Research, 54(2), 149-165.
2012 Veloz, S. D., J. W. Williams, D. Vimont, S. Vavrus, D. Lorenz, M. Notaro Identifying climatic analogs for Wisconsin under 21st-century climate-change scenarios. Climatic Change, 112(3), 1037-1058.
2011 Notaro, M., D. J. Lorenz, D. Vimont, S. Vavrus, C. Kucharik, and K. Franz 21st century Wisconsin snow projections based on an operational snow model driven by statistically downscaled climate data. International Journal of Climatology, 31(11), 1615-1633.
2011 Jaffe, S. C., J. E. Martin, D. J. Vimont, and D. J. Lorenz A synoptic climatology of episodic, subseasonal retractions of the Pacific jet. Journal of Climate, 24(11), 2846-2860.
2010 Lorenz, D. J., E. T. DeWeaver, and D. J. Vimont Evaporation change and global warming: The role of net radiation and relative humidity Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres , 115(D20).
2007 Lorenz, D. J., and E. T. DeWeaver The response of the extratropical hydrological cycle to global warming. Journal of Climate, 20(14), 3470-3484.
2007 Lorenz, D. J., and E. T. DeWeaver, Tropopause height and the zonal wind response to global warming in the IPCC scenario integrations. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 112(D10).
2006 Lorenz, D. J., and D. L. Hartmann The effect of the MJO on the North American Monsoon. Journal of Climate, 19(3), 333-343.
2005 Fyfe, J. C., and D. J. Lorenz Characterizing mid-latitude jet variability: lessons from a simple GCM. Journal of Climate, 18(16), 3400-3404.
2004 Thompson, D. W. J., and D. J. Lorenz The signature of the annular modes in the tropical troposphere. Journal of Climate, 17(22), 4330-4342.
2003 Lorenz, D. J., and D. L. Hartmann Eddy-zonal flow feedback in the Northern Hemisphere winter. Journal of Climate, 16(8), 1212-1227.
2001 Lorenz, D. J., and D. L. Hartmann Eddy-zonal flow feedback in the Southern Hemisphere. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 58(21), 3312-3327.
Other Publications
2011 Wisconsin's Changing Climate: Impacts and Adaptation. Wisconsin Initiative on Climate Change Impacts. Nelson Institute for Environmental Studies, University of Wisconsin-Madison and the Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources, Madison, Wisconsin.
2010 Notaro, M., D. Lorenz, and D. Vimont: 21st century Wisconsin gardening - Transformed by climate change. Wisconsin Natural Resources, August 2010, 17-19.
2009 Lorenz, D. J., S. J. Vavrus, D. J. Vimont, J. W. Williams, J. A. Young, E. T. DeWeaver, and M. Notaro: Wisconsin's changing climate: Temperature. In Understanding Climate Change-Climate Variability, Predictability, and Change in the Midwestern United States, Indiana University Press, 312 pp.
2009 Lorenz, D. J., S. J. Vavrus, D. J. Vimont, J. W. Williams, J. A. Young, E. T. DeWeaver, and M. Notaro: Wisconsin's changing climate: Hydrologic Cycle. In Understanding Climate Change-Climate Variability, Predictability, and Change in the Midwestern United States, Indiana University Press, 312 pp.
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